Stock Market Update - Thursday, November 18, 2010 - Dollar Down Choppy Outlook
S&P 500 1,196.69 +18.10 (+1.54%)
Nasdaq 2,514.40 +38.39 (+1.55%)
Dow Jones 3:30 PM Averages: DJIA 11,185.66 UP 177.78
30 INDUS 11,185.66 UP 177.78 OR 1.62%
20 TRANSP 4,853.94 UP 94.28 OR 1.98%
15 UTILS 399.03 UP 2.00 OR 0.50%
65 STOCKS 3,890.29 UP 58.66 OR 1.53%
Natural Gas 4.03 + 0.45%
Gasoline 2.23 -
Heating Oil 2.30 -
Gold 1353.81 + 1.31%
Silver 26.98 + 5.56%
Copper 3.78 + 1.45%
In early morning trading the Dow gained more than 170 points as the dollar held below its Wednesday close. The Dow is touching resistance near the 11200 mark, and the S&P is at the 1200 range. That may be a near-term market top for the day. The materials, energy and industrial sectors led the broad index's gains. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.8% to 2520.
The market sentiment was led by General Motors successful market entry, as it started actively trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "GM" and was recently up 8% at $35.63. GM's on pace for one of the biggest U.S. initial public offerings ever. Stock indexes held gains on Thursday after the government said new U.S. claims for unemployment benefits rose slightly last week. Among the top performers are Alcoa, jumping 4.6%, while American Express rose 2.5% and Caterpillar added 2.4%.
In early trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 167 points, or 1.5%, to 11175. Alcoa led the blue-chip index's gains, jumping 4.6%, while American Express rose 2.5% and Caterpillar added 2.4%. All 30 of the Dow components were trading in positive territory in early Thursday morning trading.
The Standard & Poor's 500-share index gained 1.7% to 1198, led by the materials, energy and industrials sectors. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.8% to 2520.
Before the bell, US stock futures surged alongside global markets Thursday, pointing to a much stronger open. The dollar pulled back against most majors Thursday morning, as conditions improved in the global markets. The dollar's retreat followed news that the U.S. core consumer prices rose just 0.6 percent in October from a year earlier, the smallest rise in records kept since 1957.
The euro and Asian equities gained some respite after Ireland agreed to work with EU and IMF officials on steps to shore up its shattered banking sector.
PHILADELPHIA BUSINESS ACTIVITY
SEES INCREASE
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia said Thursday its November index of general business activity came in at 22.5 from 1.0 in October. It had been expected at 4.5.
The bank said that its new orders index was 10.4, from -5.0, while its shipments index hit 16.8, from 1.4. Meanwhile, hiring picked up, with the employment index at 13.3, after October's 2.4.
Inflation pressures quickened, with the prices paid index at 34.0, after 31.5 in October, while the prices received index was -2.1, from -9.0 the prior month.
Jobless Claims in U.S. Increase Less Than Forecast
Weekly U.S. jobless claims rise 2,000 to 439,000 in reflection of slow hiring trends.
Initial unemployment claims rise by 2,000 to 439,000 in the week ended Nov. 13, better than economists' expectations of an 8,000 hike in new claims, but still a reminder of the continued weakness in the labor market.
Private Research Group the Conference Board reported Thursday that its composite index of leading economic indicators rose by 0.5% in October, matching the revised increase seen the prior month. The increase in the key economic barometer was a little short of the 0.6% gain forecasters had been expecting.
The overall index rose on the back of financial forces. Six of the 10 measures making up the index were positive, lead by interest rate spreads, stock prices and real money supply. The Conference Board noted that the six-month change in the index was a 1.6% gain, a moderation from the 4.6% annualized gain seen over the prior six month period.
"The LEI remains on an upward trend, suggesting the modest economic expansion will continue in the near term," said Conference Board economist Ataman Ozyildirim. "The LEI's growth has been slowing this year, but gains in the financial components helped its pickup in October."
The October LEI data fit in with the broad consensus of forecasters the economy will continue to grow over coming quarters. But the problem is that rate of growth is expected to come in right around the economy's long term trend rate, which means there will not be enough of an expansion to lower high unemployment rates much.
That tepid rate of growth is why the Federal Reserve has embarked on its controversial campaign to buy longer dated government bonds, in a bid to make the expansion faster than it would otherwise be.
EQUITIES:
Among stocks in focus, Sears Holdings dropped 3.7% after its fiscal third-quarter loss widened more than analysts expected as margins fell and sales dropped, especially at the company's namesake stores.
Food company J.M. Smucker's fiscal second-quarter earnings climbed 6.9% on higher margins and topped analysts' expectations, but revenue was surprisingly flat. Smucker also raised its target for the year by five cents. Smucker shares edged 2% lower.
Office-products retailer Staples' fiscal third-quarter profit rose 7.2% as sales and margins showed modest improvement. Shares rose 2.9%.
Dollar Tree's fiscal third-quarter earnings rose 37% as the discount retailer reported stronger-than-expected sales growth. The company narrowed its profit target for the year and boosted revenue expectations, while anticipating same-store sales up by the low- to mid-single digits on a percentage basis. Shares rose 2.9%.
In deal activity, Cardinal Health said it will buy privately held pharmaceutical distributor Kinray Inc. for $1.3 billion. Cardinal Health, the second-biggest drug distributor in the U.S. by market value, is looking to boost its presence in smaller pharmacies in the northeastern U.S. Shares rose 4.4%.
DELL and The GAP Reported Earnings After Hours
Dell Jumps 7.1% after hours as it resumes trading.
The Gap declined after hours as sales were reported as flat.
Market researcher iSuppli Corp. said in September that Dell regained its No. 2 rank on the global PC maker ladder during the second quarter.
GM'S PUBLIC DEBUT Shares On Sale
GM SHARES RISE IN EARLY TRADING AFTER RAISING $20.1BGM SHARES JUMP TO $35.90 A SHARE BEFORE SETTING AT $33.90
The auto maker's shares climbed 7% after it prices its initial public offering at $33 per share, raising $20.1 billion. Offering raises 50% more than originally expected on a higher price and the share amount than original expectations.
General Motors Co (GM) pulled off the biggest initial public offering in U.S. history on Wednesday, raising $20.1 billion after pricing shares at the top of the proposed range in response to huge investor demand.
Including an option that would allow underwriters to sell more shares, expected to be exercised in coming days, GM looks set to raise $23.1 billion, making it the biggest initial public offering ever.
The strong response to the stock sale reflects a groundswell of investor confidence that GM is moving beyond its unpopular, taxpayer-funded bankruptcy in June 2009 with sharply lower costs and higher profit potential.
The government's stake in GM will drop to about 33 percent from 61 percent if all available shares are sold.
China ACM and China Construction Sign Strategic Alliance
China Advanced Construction Materials Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CADC) a leading provider of ready-mix concrete and related technical services in China, today announced that China State Construction Engineering Corporation ("China Construction" or "CSCEC") (Shanghai SE: 601668) and the Company have signed a strategic alliance letter of intent. With annual revenue of $38 billion, CSCEC is ranked number 187 in the Fortune Global 500 list of companies.
Sears Third-Quarter Loss Misses Estimates
Sears Holdings Corp., the largest US department-store chain, said its third-quarter loss widened as consumers remained cautious amid high levels of unemployment. The net loss widened to $218 million, or 1.98 a share, from $127 million, or $1.09, a year earlier.
CHINESE AUTO RETAILER
TO LAUNCH US IPO
Lentuo, which calls itself the country's largest nonstate-owned auto retailer in Beijing, operates six dealerships, 10 showrooms, one repair shop and one car leasing company in the capital region.
It plans to use proceeds from the IPO to fund growth and upgrade efforts while also developing fleet-car leasing and used-car sales. For the first half of the year, Lentuo reported a 35% increase in profit to CNY67.4 million ($9.9 million) as revenue grew 21% to CNY1.31 billion.
A number of Chinese companies have had successful U.S. IPOs in recent weeks, including automobile marketing website operator Bitauto Holdings Ltd. (BITA), whose stock rose 3.8% in its trading debut Wednesday. Lentuo said its ADS have been approved for listing on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol LAS.
OIL FUTURES: Nymex Crude Settles Up $1.41 At $81.85/Bbl
Light, sweet crude for December delivery settled $1.41, or 1.8%, higher at $81.85 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract expires at settlement Friday. Brent crude on the ICE futures exchange traded $1.82 higher at $85.10 a barrel.
Front-month December reformulated gasoline blend-stock, or RBOB, settled 7.04 cents, or 3.3%, higher at $2.2283 a gallon. December heating oil settled 4.32 cents, or 1.9%, higher at $2.2951 a gallon.
Natural gas for December delivery settled 2.3 cents, or 0.6%, lower at $4.007 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gas production is also holding steady despite low prices, as companies drill in new, energy-rich shale-rock formations.
Gas in storage rose by 3 billion cubic feet in the week ended Nov. 12, according to government data. That was less than the 8 bcf addition expected in a Dow Jones survey, but still enough to raise inventories to a record high of 3.843 trillion cubic feet.
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Comex gold futures settled in positive territory Thursday as a weaker dollar and a more certain outlook for Ireland's debt woes drew investors back into the precious metals market.
The most actively traded contract, for December delivery, settled up 1.2%, or $16.10, at $1,353 per troy ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Settlements (Range Include Floor and Electronic Trading):
London PM Gold Fix: $1,350.25; previous PM $1,337.50
Dec gold $1,353.00, up 16.10; Range $1,334.00-$1,359.00
Dec silver $26.834, up $1.323; Range $25.590-$27.040
Jan platinum $1,663.90, up $23; Range $1,634.50-$1,671.90
Dec palladium $655.50, up $40.65; Range $661.70-$698.55
3 Month 0.12% 0.00 (0.00%)
6 Month 0.17% 0.00 (0.00%)
2 Year 0.50% +0.01 (2.04%)
5 Year 1.53% +0.03 (2.00%)
10 Year 2.93% +0.03 (1.03%)
30 Year 4.30% +0.02 (0.47%)
New York City agencies will be taking a $585 million budget hit this fiscal year and another $1 billion in the year starting July 1 as Mayor Michael Bloomberg's office released a plan that calls for the layoffs of some 10,000 workers.
Bloomberg's office issued an updated four-year financial plan that still leaves a $2.4 billion deficit to be addressed for the coming fiscal year, down from $3.3 billion in the previous forecast. The city's latest actions will result in 2,102 layoffs this fiscal year and 8,264 in the next one.
TRADEWEB LAUNCHES
The trade signifies how over-the-counter derivatives could be traded once new financial regulations under the Dodd-Frank Act become effective next year. The Act will force standardized OTC derivatives to be traded on exchanges or alternative venues called "swap execution facilities" to promote price transparency.
Tradeweb supports electronic trading for a range of markets including interest rate derivatives and credit derivatives index products, global government bonds, U.S. agency mortgages, U.S. agency debentures, and money market products such as commercial paper.
Toronto Stocks Higher
The stock market was higher at midday Thursday, led by commodity producers, as the prospect of a bailout for Ireland and a declining dollar's drive in commodities activity lifted overall sentiment.
The S&P/TSX Composite Index was up 205.74 points, or 1.6%, at 12863.57. Advances led declines 1030 to 376. Trading volume was 254.9 million shares. The S&P/TSX 60 Index was up 11.38 points, or 1.6%, to 737.03.
Toronto Indexes, Volume; 4:05 PM EST Composite Up 212.18
S&P/TSX Composite 12870.01 up 212.18 or 1.7%
S&P/TSX 60 Index 737.59 up 11.94 or 1.6%
Financials 181.23 up 3.04 or 1.7%
Materials 417.90 up 9.22 or 2.3%
Energy 298.56 up 6.49 or 2.2%
Industrials 107.52 up 1.09 or 1.0%
IT 29.78 up 0.20 or 0.7%
Volume Thursday Wednesday
3-4:15 88.6M 78.3M
9:30-4:15 509.3M 424.7M
BRAZIL:
Brazil Stocks Close Higher
Brazilian shares also advanced Thursday because of rising global commodities prices, traders said. High commodities prices boost export revenue for major Brazilian companies.
Blue chips were mostly higher at the close Thursday.
State oil company Petrobras rose 1.77% to close at BRL25.90 on higher international oil prices. Mining major Vale saw its shares advance 2.36% to BRL49.45 as global metals prices rose. Telecom leader Tele Norte Leste Participacoes, or Oi, gained 0.36% to close at BRL25.04. Steelmaker Usiminas gained 1.31% to BRL21.62. Steel rival CSN rose 1.38% to BRL28.60. Aircraft manufacturer Embraer rose 0.41% to BRL12.30.
ARGENTINA:
Argentina's consumer confidence rose in November, reaching its highest level since President Cristina Fernandez assumed office in 2007, Torcuato di Tella University (UTDT), said in a report Thursday.
The UTDT consumer confidence index surged 10.6% from the previous month and was up 36.7% from a year earlier. Wealthy consumers saw their confidence rise 11.4% on the month in November, while the poorest consumers saw their confidence rise 10.1% on the month.
The survey also pointed to increasing optimism over economic prospects. The index of macroeconomic expectations jumped 18.9% on the month, while the index measuring prospects for people's personal situation rose 8.9% and the real estate expectations index rose 3.6% on the month.
Despite the positive expectations, consumers continue to be worried about inflation, which is surging amid the strong growth and heavy government spending.
According to a separate UTDT survey, Argentines are expecting prices to rise by 30% over the next 12 months, in line with inflation expectations from a month earlier.
CHILE:
Chile Stocks Close HigherChile's blue-chip Ipsa index ended higher Thursday as gross domestic product surged and global equity markets shot higher on improved sentiment.
The Ipsa ended 0.6% higher at 4931.35, while market volume grew to 117.8 billion Chilean pesos ($245.3 million), versus CLP109.8 billion the previous session.
Among retailers, which have pushed the Ipsa to its record run this year on the back of surging domestic demand, holding giant Cencosud (CENCOSUD.SN) rose 0.5% to CLP3,435.00, department store La Polar (LAPOLAR.SN) jumped 1.6% to CLP3,600.00 and retailer Ripley (RIPLEY.SN) increased 0.6% to CLP684.00.
Pulp and paper producer CMPC (CMPC.SN) grew 1.1% to CLP26,902.00, integrated steel and iron ore producer Cap (CAP.SN) gained 1.5% to CLP25,242.00, specialty chemical and fertilizer producer SQM's (SQM) more liquid B-series shares rose 0.7% to CLP24,358.00, and fuel and forestry conglomerate Copec (COPEC.SN), the Ipsa's heaviest-weighted share, increased 0.5% to CLP9,476.00.
The peso ended stronger against the dollar as GDP surged. The peso ended at CLP480.20 to the dollar, compared with Wednesday's close of CLP483.40, while trading in a range of CLP479.60 to CLP482.00.
The central bank said July-September 2010 had one fewer business day than the same period last year, which cut growth by 0.2 percentage points.
Domestic demand, which has fueled the recovery along with surging investments, grew 18.2% year-on-year in the third quarter. On a seasonally adjusted basis, GDP grew 2.0% from the previous quarter, the central bank reported.
The monetary authority also reported that for the third quarter, the country posted a current account deficit of $416 million, equivalent to 0.9% of GDP.
Chile's trade balance surplus reached $3.75 billion in the quarter, with exports and imports gaining 29.5% and 40.4%, respectively, on the year.
MEXICO:
Mexico's Stocks Close Higher
Mexico's IPC index of leading shares rose 1.3% to 36322 on volume of 5.43 billion pesos ($442 million), putting it within a few hundred points of its last record-high finish, 36543, reached on Nov. 8. Technical analysts say that a close above 36000 points puts the IPC back on an upward trajectory for the near term.
Among active Mexican shares, wireless communications firm and market bellwether America Movil's (AMX) L shares advanced 1.3% to MXN35.52, cement group Cemex's (CX) CPOs finished up 2.2% to MXN11.35 and copper miner Grupo Mexico's (GMEXICO.MX) B shares gained 2.7% to MXN42.71, aided by a rise in copper prices.
Bank of Mexico Deputy Governor Manuel Sanchez Thursday said the central bank was unlikely to take steps to weaken the peso because the benefits of a floating exchange rate outweigh any short-term gain the move could bring.
Mexico has been less worried about currency gains than many of its emerging market peers, which have seen their currencies strengthen due to big investment flows after the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to ease policy.
To halt their currencies' rise, some emerging countries like Brazil have introduced capital controls. Others, like China, have continued to intervene in foreign exchange markets to fix the level of their currency. China and Brazil worry a strong currency could hurt exports and their economies.
Bank of Mexico Governor Agustin Carstens said this month that Mexico could consider measures if flows are sustained with a strengthening effect on the peso, but was generally supportive of the Fed actions aimed at shoring up the U.S. economic recovery, which would benefit Mexico. Finance Minister Ernesto Cordero said the government is comfortable with the current exchange rate level set by the market.
Mexican officials have come out strongly against capital or exchange controls, and measures that may be considered are an increase in reserves accumulation through an existing mechanism of put options, or eventual monetary easing.
IRELAND:
Dublin Stocks: ISEQ Ending +2.7% At 2,764; Bank Of Ireland +7.5%
IRISH BANK SHARES SHARPLY HIGHER ON ANTICIPATED BAILOUT
Shares of Irish banks are sharply higher as discussions between European and Irish officials on a possible bailout intensify. Banks could end up directly receiving a large loan from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund.
Chinese rail companies learned their trade from the likes of Kawasaki and Siemens are now vying against their former partners in the burgeoning global market for super-fast train systems
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USD/JPY 83.6500 +0.4200 (0.50%)
GBP/USD 1.6009 +0.0101 (0.63%)
CAD/USD 0.9831 +0.0065 (0.67%)
USD/HKD 7.7532 -0.0030 (-0.04%)
USD/CNY 6.6330 -0.0085 (-0.13%)
AUD/USD 0.9888 +0.0081 (0.83%)
Nikkei 225 10,013.63 +201.97 (2.06%)
Hang Seng Index 23,637.39 +422.93 (1.82%)
TSEC 8,283.45 +27.91 (0.34%)
FTSE 100 5,768.71 +76.15 (1.34%)
DJ EURO STOXX 50 2,855.23 +52.53 (1.87%)
CAC 40 3,867.97 +75.62 (1.99%)
S&P TSX 12,865.67 +207.84 (1.64%)
S&P/ASX 200 4,640.20 +15.90 (0.34%)
BSE Sensex 19,930.64 +65.50 (0.33%)
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